Gridiron Gazette: Goal Line Stand (Week 13)
With 11 teams battling for 6 playoff spots, his team down 23 and on the verge of elimination, Drew Brees lifted the Kickers onto his shoulders and engineered one of the best comeback victories of the year. The 29 year old kept Arizona-Kickery's hopes alive, but will it enough to get them into the postseason?Goal Line Stand (Week 13)
Cam Pannalist, Gridiron Gazette
"Every game matters." It's quite the cliche, and brutally obvious. When Kickers' QB Drew Brees exploded for 30 points to lead their come-from-behind victory over Golden, it created such a logjam in the standings that we have never seen before. 2 teams (Twin City Tech, Bud Heavy) clinched playoff spots with victories in Week 12, the longest its ever taken for the first playoff spot to be claimed.
Which leaves 4 remaining spots, and 9 teams mathematically eligible to take them. Last week we took a look at playoff possibilities, but one week has cleared up the picture quite a bit. Taking matchups and point totals into account, who has the worst chance at getting into the FBCS Postseason:
Stardust
The Crazy Horses are in the midst of a 5-game losing streak, all of which followed a 93-58 shellacking of Gillespie State back in Week 7. Eli Manning took over for Ben Roethlisberger under Center, and has put up big numbers, but the rest of the team has refused to play for him. The receiving core has had just one 10-point game under Manning (Steve Smith, Week 8), and the running game has completely disappeared.
Matchup - Golden is beatable, just not by the Stardust.
Rakeville
The Grays have managed a 6-6 record and a shot at the playoffs even with their inability to score points. The roster is highlighted by RB Marshawn Lynch and WR Calvin Johnson, who have produced about 75% of the team's offense this season and should continue to do so for years to come. Unfortunately, it takes more than 2 to tango in this conference. With points as the first tiebreaker, even a win this weekend won't help them into the playoffs.
Matchup: Even in defeat, Mexico has looked good the past few weeks (97 points in a loss to Athol in Week 10).
Gillespie State
The Black Diamonds have done nothing to help themselves, falling like a rock from playoff contention with 3 losses in their last 4 games (their only win against bottom-of-the-standings Weymouth). They have gotten nothing out of the Quarterback position, failing to score 10 points since Week 8. Lee Evans leaving town has created a resurgence in the receiving game, but they'll need the numbers from Jake Delhomme if they want any chance at this thing.
Matchup: Busch is looking for blood, and the #2 seed, so don't expect them to roll over for the struggling Black Diamonds.
Which leaves 6 teams with the best shot at the final 4 playoff spots:
Athol A&M
A&M has scored 71.32 PPG this season, 2nd in the conference... Unfortunately, they've also given up 75.47, which puts them 12th. The Law of Common Sense states that if the other team scores more points than you, you lose, so even having a stranglehold on the playoff tiebreaker won't help the Alcky's as they welcome the top rated offense to finish off the season.
Matchup: If Athol can pull off the upset, they're in. However, Twin City Tech has scored 91.59 over their last 3 games, so they'll have to put up their biggest numbers of the season to do so.
Mexico
Three weeks ago, we would never have imagined Mexico with ANY kind of shot at the playoffs, yet here we are. 2 big wins against playoff contenders has the defending champions in prime position to sneak into the 6th seed, but it might be a little too late. The Wildcats need a lot of help: A victory, at least 3 of the 6-6 teams to lose, and enough points to overtake the tiebreaker. With that said, Mexico should be the final team left out of the playoffs this year.
Matchup: The 3-ring circus known as Rakeville should be entertaining for Mexico, and will make this playoff picture very interesting.
Golden
The media tore Golden to shreds when they sent away superstar wideout Andre Johnson for first-year starter Michael Turner, but the 26 year old has held down his end each and every week. Unfortunately, even a 29 point explosion last week couldn't give the Gryphons a victory, but it did help their point total. GU has the 4th best offense in the conference.
Matchup: With the struggling Stardust coming to town, Golden should lock up the final playoff spot.
Dublin
The Oktoberfests' offense has been atrocious over the past 4 weeks (48.42 PPG), yet a 6-game win streak in the middle of the season has them in a great spot to make the playoffs. Their points were supposed to come from their running backs, but its been the receivers who have been carrying them to... well, losses. They'll need that strong ground attack if they want any chance to continue their season.
Matchup: "Win And You're In" looks a lot better when you're facing a team with nothing to play for. Bud Heavy is just who DUBA wants to see right now.
Arizona-Kickery
The Kickers offense has been hit-or-miss all season. One week they'll be on top of the world (98 vs. Gillespie State in Week 6), and the next they'll look like a Pop Warner team (37 vs. Rakeville in Week 7). Their big victory against Golden last week doesn't bode well for the "Here Today, Gone Tomorrow" theme of this offense, but with the 3rd highest point total in the conference, a tiebreaker is all but theirs.
Matchup: It's always nice to see an expansion team on your schedule for the season finale, but not when that team is coming off a 92 point outburst. However, don't expect lightning to strike twice for the Islanders of Weymouth.
Busch
Even with their worst point total in 5 weeks (59 vs. Dublin) the Lattes still managed to win. Fate is on their side, as well as well as one of the best running games in the league. Everything starts and finishes with Adrian Peterson on this team; As he goes, they go. A big game from the 2nd year back will get them in, and possibly with a BYE.
Matchup: Gillespie State has been a mess as of late (60 PPG in their last 7) which should be easy pickings for the defending runner ups.
Week 13 Matchups
(1) Twin City Tech over (9) Athol A&M
(4) Dublin over (2) Bud Heavy
(3) Busch over (7) Gillespie State
(5) Arizona-Kickery over (12) Weymouth
(6) Golden over (11) Stardust
(10) Mexico over (7) Rakeville
Power Rankings
1. Twin City Tech ( - )
2. Bud Heavy (+1)
3. Busch (-1)
4. Arizona-Kickery (+6)
5. Mexico (+3)
6. Golden (-2)
7. Athol A&M (-1)
8. Rakeville (-1)
9. Dublin (-4)
10. Weymouth (+2)
11. Gillespie State (-2)
12. Stardust (-1)
League Notes
- Since acquiring RB Julius Jones after a 93 point outburst in Week 7, the S.U.C.H. offense has been able to crack 53 points just once. Apparently Jones doesn't like gambling, and the rest of the locker room is not happy about it.
- The best defense in the league thus far has been Bud Heavy, who's averaging 57.99 points against this season. The worst defense? Any team that is playing Twin City Tech.
- 7th Round draft pick Chris Johnson -- chosen after failed rushers Kenny Watson, Rudi Johnson, and Ahmad Bradshaw -- has been a top-20 running back all season for Dublin, proving that bitterness truly is the greatest motivator in the world.
Labels: GLS, Gridiron Gazette, Pannalist
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